2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

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c_saeteurn
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by c_saeteurn » Thu Dec 26, 2013 5:56 pm

didnt even see yours mordalphus, 28008, it could happen!

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MarkFromSea
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by MarkFromSea » Tue Dec 31, 2013 2:03 pm

With just 10 hours to go we're at: Total members 27714
It jumped higher than I expected in the last week. LOL Must have been the holiday affect. :cheers:
Mike Carey wrote:It's time to start our contest to guess how many registered members you think there will be come Dec 31, 2013. Here are the rules for the contest:

Rules of the Contest:

1) Guess the number of Registered Members as of the end of the year, 12-31-2013.

2) The person closest to the actual number (over or under) is the winner.

3) You may only make one guess, and your guess is final.

4) You may not guess closer than 5 numbers on either side of someone else's guess. Let's not crowd each other's fishing turf, LOL. If you do, I will adjust it to no closer than five numbers apart.

5) The last guess will be allowed on July 1st.


The winner will receive cool stuff from our Sponsors and WL.com! Minimum value will be $50 in FISHING STUFF AND a $25 Cabela's Gift Card.

Good luck with your guess. We started 2013 with 22,921 members.

As of today (May 21st) we are at 24,452.

HERE's our Guesser's List for 2013:

FishBaitThe2nd - 30,158
MarkFromSea - 28,050
mordalphus - 28,008
bothellfisher - 27,850
Dustin07 - 27,684
c_saeteurn - 27,665
gonnahookit -27,213
Dan Boone - 27,087
jd39 - 27,050
BodoFish - 27,020
stmcmurray76 - 27,001
BlakeP - 26,955
Idstud - 26,942
drysuperfly52 - 26,888
BigD - 26,850
ripsomelip - 26,793
beeman - 26,750
bassplayer17 - 26,680
bryanpeck - 26,650
sjrose24 - 26,560
Amx - 26,501
Mike Carey - 26,495
Racfish - 26,354
Racer - 26,340
MotoBoat - 26,170
Rosann G - 26,000
Toni - 25,957
DavidA - 25,952
ShipwreckedDude - 25,679
oneshot - 25,555
KevinS - 24,816
"Fish Hard and Fish Often!"

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Mike Carey
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Mike Carey » Wed Jan 01, 2014 6:11 pm

And We Have a Winner!

The Official Final count for total members on the Forum at the end of 2013 is: 27,714.

Closest to the mark (and pretty darn close by 30 under) is:

Dustin07 - 27,684

Congratulations Dustin07, I have a check and some goodies for you. PM sent.

Thanks to everyone that participated. We'll do this again around May-June for 2014. :-k

BTW, here is Duston07's formula that got him so close:


i've created a complex algorithm to take into account:

the number of new members this year
the likelihood of an increased number of members during summer months vs winter months
the epic pink salmon run we'll have this year
the uptick in housing prices
the number of trips AMX makes to lake sawyer each week
the stability of fuel prices
the tastiness of fried fish
Canoingits Deep Lake reports
and my lotto numbers

by my best mathing, the number should be roughly 27,684. give or take 4.
Image

"Takers get the honey, Givers sing the blues".

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Amx
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Amx » Wed Jan 01, 2014 6:19 pm

Congrats. [thumbup]
Tom.

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Amx
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Amx » Wed Jan 01, 2014 6:22 pm

Oh hold it!!!
by my best mathing, the number should be roughly 27,684. give or take 4.
It wasn't within 4 either way by his own count. Image HE LOOSES!!!

Next one up?

Image
Tom.

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Amx
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Amx » Wed Jan 01, 2014 6:25 pm

:scratch: Is it too late to ban some more members? :scratch:
Tom.

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Dustin07
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Dustin07 » Wed Jan 01, 2014 6:30 pm

haha, did I say 4? I mean 40 :D

Congrats to the great site growth though. Walakes is a staple for my fishing circle and myself :)

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Amx
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Amx » Wed Jan 01, 2014 6:33 pm

Dustin07 wrote:haha, did I say 4? I mean 40 :D

:)
Oh, ok, my mistake. :cheers: [thumbsup]
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MarkFromSea
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by MarkFromSea » Thu Jan 02, 2014 1:33 am

Congrats Dustin! That's some complicated formula for getting the win. :)
"Fish Hard and Fish Often!"

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Dustin07
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Dustin07 » Thu Jan 02, 2014 7:12 am

MarkFromSea wrote:Congrats Dustin! That's some complicated formula for getting the win. :)
I had to employ the assistance of a few economists and financial advisers, modifying their business analysis formulas to pertain to the much more important topic of projected growth here on the forums, but it was worth the effort :salut:

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Amx
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Amx » Thu Jan 02, 2014 11:08 am

Dustin07 wrote:
MarkFromSea wrote:Congrats Dustin! That's some complicated formula for getting the win. :)
I had to employ the assistance of a few economists and financial advisers, modifying their business analysis formulas to pertain to the much more important topic of projected growth here on the forums, but it was worth the effort :salut:
So how much $,$$$ did it cost you to win that $100?


[laugh]
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Dustin07
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Dustin07 » Thu Jan 02, 2014 11:10 am

fully subsidized by government funding :^o

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Amx
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Amx » Thu Jan 02, 2014 11:12 am

Image Image
Tom.

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Rosann G
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Rosann G » Thu Jan 02, 2014 10:52 pm

Congrats Dustin!!!!

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Dustin07
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Dustin07 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:12 am

hmm this was on my desk this morning...

Image


opened it up and it exploded into this!

Image




very cool prize pack, a big thanks to Mike and the sponsors!!! The timing is awesome and really gets me chompin for the water [thumbsup] tried to include pics of the business cards and vendor names, big thanks to everyone, this is cool! [thumbup]

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Mike Carey
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by Mike Carey » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:44 pm

wow, that's a lot o stuff. Who authorized that???? :-" :)

This is turning into one of our more fun annual events. I would not have guessed that high for total members.
Image

"Takers get the honey, Givers sing the blues".

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MarkFromSea
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Re: 2013 End of the Year Membership Guessing Contest

Post by MarkFromSea » Tue Jan 07, 2014 1:15 pm

That's a nice haul. Congrats Dustin!
"Fish Hard and Fish Often!"

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